Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Meuser a 68% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Dan Meuser won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dan Meuser — 68% model odds (won)
  2. Amanda R. Waldman — 32% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts