Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Cartwright a 69% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Matt Cartwright won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Matt Cartwright — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Jim Bognet — 31% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts