Pennsylvania House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chrissy Houlahan an 82% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2022 primary. Chrissy Houlahan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chrissy Houlahan — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Guy Ciarrocchi — 18% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts