Oregon Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe Rae Perkins a 42% chance of winning the Oregon Senate 2022 primary. Ron Wyden won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Joe Rae Perkins — 42% model odds
- Chris Henry — 42% model odds
- Ron Wyden — 16% model odds (won)
- Dan Pulju — 0% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds