Oregon House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jamie Mcleod-Skinner an 89% chance of winning the Oregon House 2022 primary. Lori Chavez-Deremer won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Jamie Mcleod-Skinner — 89% model odds
  2. Lori Chavez-Deremer — 11% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts