Oregon House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alek Skarlatos a 45% chance of winning the Oregon House 2022 primary. Val Hoyle won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Alek Skarlatos — 45% model odds
- Mike Beilstein — 45% model odds
- Val Hoyle — 10% model odds (won)
- Levi Leatherberry — 0% model odds
- Jim Howard — 0% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds