Oklahoma Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Markwayne Mullin a 50% chance of winning the Oklahoma Senate 2022 primary. James Lankford won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Markwayne Mullin — 50% model odds
  2. James Lankford — 50% model odds (won)
  3. Kendra Horn — 0% model odds
  4. Robert Murphy — 0% model odds
  5. Ray Woods — 0% model odds
  6. Madison Horn — 0% model odds
  7. Michael L. Delaney — 0% model odds
  8. Kenneth D. Blevins — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts