Ohio Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jd Vance a 50% chance of winning the Ohio Senate 2022 primary. Jd Vance won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jd Vance — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Tim Ryan — 50% model odds
  3. John Cheng — 0% model odds
  4. Shane Hoffman — 0% model odds
  5. Lashondra Tinsley — 0% model odds
  6. Stephen Faris — 0% model odds
  7. Matthew R. Esh — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts