Ohio House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Troy Balderson an 88% chance of winning the Ohio House 2022 primary. Troy Balderson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Troy Balderson — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Amy Rippel-Elton — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts