Ohio House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marcy Kaptur a 95% chance of winning the Ohio House 2022 primary. Marcy Kaptur won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Marcy Kaptur — 95% model odds (won)
  2. J. R. Majewski — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts