New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brandon M. Williams a 34% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Francis Conole won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Brandon M. Williams — 34% model odds
2. Brandon M. Williams — 34% model odds
3. Francis Conole — 32% model odds (won)
4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts