New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elise M. Stefanik a 41% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Elise M. Stefanik won, matching the model's top pick.
- Elise M. Stefanik — 41% model odds (won)
- Elise M. Stefanik — 41% model odds
- Matt Castelli — 9% model odds
- Matt Castelli — 9% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds