New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul D. Tonko a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Paul D. Tonko won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Paul D. Tonko — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Paul D. Tonko — 0% model odds
  3. Elizabeth L. Joy — 0% model odds
  4. Elizabeth L. Joy — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts