New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Josh Riley a 40% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Marcus Molinaro won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Josh Riley — 40% model odds
- Marcus Molinaro — 30% model odds (won)
- Marcus Molinaro — 30% model odds
- Josh Riley — 0% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds