California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Norma J. Torres a 50% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Norma J. Torres won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Norma J. Torres — 50% model odds (won)
2. Christina Gagnier — 32% model odds (won)
3. Anthony Vieyra — 10% model odds
4. Scott Heydenfeldt — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts