New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Pat Ryan a 91% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Pat Ryan won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Pat Ryan — 91% model odds (won)
2. Colin J. Schmitt — 5% model odds
3. Colin J. Schmitt — 5% model odds
4. Pat Ryan — 0% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts