New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sean Patrick Maloney a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Sean Patrick Maloney won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sean Patrick Maloney — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Michael V. Lawler — 0% model odds
  3. Michael V. Lawler — 0% model odds
  4. Sean Patrick Maloney — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts