New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jamaal Bowman a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Jamaal Bowman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jamaal Bowman — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Jamaal Bowman — 0% model odds
  3. Miriam L. # Flisser — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts