New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jerrold L. Nadler a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Jerrold L. Nadler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jerrold L. Nadler — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Jerrold L. Nadler — 0% model odds
  3. Michael K. Zumbluskas — 0% model odds
  4. Michael K. Zumbluskas — 0% model odds
  5. Michael K. Zumbluskas — 0% model odds
  6. Mikhail Itkis — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts