New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nicole Malliotakis a 45% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Nicole Malliotakis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nicole Malliotakis — 45% model odds (won)
  2. Nicole Malliotakis — 45% model odds
  3. Max N. Rose — 10% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts