New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nydia M. Velazquez a 95% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Nydia M. Velazquez won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Nydia M. Velazquez — 95% model odds (won)
2. Nydia M. Velazquez — 5% model odds
3. Juan Pagan — 0% model odds
4. Juan Pagan — 0% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts