New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Grace Meng a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Grace Meng won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Grace Meng — 100% model odds (won)
2. Thomas J. Zmich — 0% model odds
3. Thomas J. Zmich — 0% model odds
4. Thomas J. Zmich — 0% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts