New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Laura A. Gillen an 80% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Laura A. Gillen won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Laura A. Gillen — 80% model odds (won)
2. Anthony P. D'Esposito — 10% model odds
3. Anthony P. D'Esposito — 10% model odds
4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts