New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andrew R. Garbarino a 50% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Andrew R. Garbarino won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Andrew R. Garbarino — 50% model odds (won)
2. Andrew R. Garbarino — 50% model odds
3. Jackie Gordon — 0% model odds
4. Jackie Gordon — 0% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts