New York House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nicholas J. Lalota a 33% chance of winning the New York House 2022 primary. Nicholas J. Lalota won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Nicholas J. Lalota — 33% model odds (won)
2. Nicholas J. Lalota — 33% model odds
3. Bridget Fleming — 33% model odds
4. Bridget Fleming — 0% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts