Nevada Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Catherine Cortez Masto an 82% chance of winning the Nevada Senate 2022 primary. Catherine Cortez Masto won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Catherine Cortez Masto — 82% model odds (won)
2. Adam Paul Laxalt — 18% model odds
3. Of These Candidates — 0% model odds
4. Barry Lindemann — 0% model odds
5. Neil Scott — 0% model odds
6. Barry Rubinson — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts