Nevada House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark E. Amodei a 95% chance of winning the Nevada House 2022 primary. Mark E. Amodei won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark E. Amodei — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Elizabeth Mercedes Krause — 5% model odds
  3. Russell Best — 0% model odds
  4. Darryl Baber — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts