New Mexico House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Yvette Herrell a 56% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2022 primary. Gabriel Vasquez won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Yvette Herrell — 56% model odds
- Gabriel Vasquez — 44% model odds (won)
- Eliseo Luna — 0% model odds