New Mexico House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Melanie Ann Stansbury an 89% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2022 primary. Melanie Ann Stansbury won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Melanie Ann Stansbury — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Michelle Garcia Holmes — 11% model odds
  3. Victoria L. Gonzales — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts