New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mikie Sherril a 56% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Mikie Sherril won, matching the model's top pick.
- Mikie Sherril — 56% model odds (won)
- Paul Degroot — 44% model odds
- Joseph Biasco — 0% model odds