New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald M., Jr. Payne a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Donald M., Jr. Payne won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald M., Jr. Payne — 100% model odds (won)
  2. David H. Pinckney — 0% model odds
  3. Cynthia A. Johnson — 0% model odds
  4. Kendal Ludden — 0% model odds
  5. Clenard Howard, Jr. Childress — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts