New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bill, Jr. Pascrell a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Bill, Jr. Pascrell won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bill, Jr. Pascrell — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Billy Prempeh — 0% model odds
  3. Lea Sherman — 0% model odds
  4. Sean Armstrong — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts