New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert J. Menendez a 100% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Robert J. Menendez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robert J. Menendez — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Marcos Arroyo — 0% model odds
  3. Joanne Kuniansky — 0% model odds
  4. Dan Delaney — 0% model odds
  5. David W. Cook — 0% model odds
  6. Pablo Olivera — 0% model odds
  7. John V. Salierno — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts