New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Josh Gottheimer a 67% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Josh Gottheimer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Josh Gottheimer — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Frank T. Pallota — 33% model odds
  3. Jeremy Marcus — 0% model odds
  4. Trevor James Ferrigno — 0% model odds
  5. Louis Vellucci — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts