New Jersey House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeff Van Drew a 50% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2022 primary. Jeff Van Drew won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jeff Van Drew — 50% model odds (won)
2. Tim Alexander — 50% model odds
3. Michael Gallo — 0% model odds
4. Anthony Parisi Sanchez — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts