California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marianne Williamson a 40% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Marianne Williamson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Marianne Williamson — 40% model odds (won)
2. Theo Milonopoulos — 26% model odds
3. Brent C. Roske — 18% model odds
4. Tom Fox — 16% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts