New Hampshire House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Pappas an 89% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2022 primary. Chris Pappas won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Pappas — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Karoline Leavitt — 11% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts