Nebraska House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adrian Smith a 95% chance of winning the Nebraska House 2022 primary. Adrian Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Adrian Smith — 95% model odds (won)
  2. David J. Else — 5% model odds
  3. Mark, Jr. Elworth — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts