North Carolina Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cheri Beasley a 46% chance of winning the North Carolina Senate 2022 primary. Ted Budd won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Cheri Beasley — 46% model odds
- Ted Budd — 37% model odds (won)
- Matthew Patrick Hoh — 17% model odds
- Shannon W. Bray — 0% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds
- Michelle Estelle Lewis — 0% model odds