North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chuck Edwards a 73% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Chuck Edwards won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chuck Edwards — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Jasmine Beach-Ferrara — 27% model odds
  3. David Adam Coatney — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts