North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick Mchenry an 88% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Patrick Mchenry won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Patrick Mchenry — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Pam Genant — 12% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds
  4. Diana R. Jimison — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts