North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Rouzer an 88% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. David Rouzer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Rouzer — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Charles Graham — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts