North Carolina House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Valerie P. Foushee an 89% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2022 primary. Valerie P. Foushee won, matching the model's top pick.
- Valerie P. Foushee — 89% model odds (won)
- Courtney Geels — 11% model odds