California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ted Lieu a 44% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Ted Lieu won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ted Lieu — 44% model odds (won)
  2. Wendy Greuel — 16% model odds (won)
  3. James Graf — 14% model odds
  4. David Kanuth — 11% model odds
  5. Matt Miller — 3% model odds
  6. Kristie Holmes — 3% model odds
  7. Michael Shapiro — 3% model odds
  8. Zein E., Jr. Obagi — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts