Missouri Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eric Schmitt a 79% chance of winning the Missouri Senate 2022 primary. Eric Schmitt won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eric Schmitt — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Trudy Busch Valentine — 21% model odds
  3. Jonathan Dine — 0% model odds
  4. Paul Venable — 0% model odds
  5. Nathan Mooney — 0% model odds
  6. Steve Price — 0% model odds
  7. Rick Combs — 0% model odds
  8. Gina Bufe — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts