Missouri House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Emanuel, Ii Cleaver a 95% chance of winning the Missouri House 2022 primary. Emanuel, Ii Cleaver won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Emanuel, Ii Cleaver — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Jacob Turk — 5% model odds
  3. Robin Dominick — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts