Missouri House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ann Wagner a 74% chance of winning the Missouri House 2022 primary. Ann Wagner won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ann Wagner — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Trish Gunby — 26% model odds
  3. Bill Slantz — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts