Minnesota House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michelle Fischbach a 68% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2022 primary. Michelle Fischbach won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michelle Fischbach — 68% model odds (won)
  2. Jill Abahsain — 32% model odds
  3. Travis "Bull" Johnson — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts