Minnesota House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ilhan Omar a 69% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2022 primary. Ilhan Omar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ilhan Omar — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Cicely Davis — 31% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts