Minnesota House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Weiler a 67% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2022 primary. Dean Phillips won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Tom Weiler — 67% model odds
  2. Dean Phillips — 33% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts